FluxMetrics — the live telemetry layer

The instrument panel behind live capital execution.

Regime posteriors, ensemble conviction, warden verdicts, execution latency, drawdown headroom — the operational telemetry our own live-capital swarm runs on, packaged as a product for funds, prop desks, and fintech teams. Every endpoint ships only after it has survived production on our own book. Eat your own cooking, then serve it.

SaaS dashboard teaser

What the operations desk sees.

A preview of the metric surfaces under active development — the same widget classes our own risk telemetry uses. States below are illustrative; verified dashboards are shared under NDA.

Regime · posterior
BULL p=0.81
bull · bear · neutral · macro-vol — realtime
Ensemble conviction
0.82 ▲ gate pass
stacked ensemble · conviction floor, realtime
Warden verdicts · 24h
ALL CLEAR PASS
pre-trade checks · kill-switch armed
Drawdown headroom
NOMINAL within band
dynamic thresholds vs. trailing peak
Execution · hot path
ROUTED deterministic
deterministic order path · async ingestion queues
Tournament · ELO delta
+14 challenger rising
genome pool · surrogate pre-scored

Illustrative widget states — not live account data. Verified production dashboards are shown under NDA via institutional access.

Interactive: a real volume model, fit and scored in your browser

A month of intraday volume is simulated (seasonal U-profile × AR(1) shocks × news spikes). A ridge regression — β = (XᵀX + λI)⁻¹Xᵀy on lagged deviations from the estimated seasonal — is trained on 21 days, then scored one-step-ahead on a 22nd day it never saw. Hover to compare against the naive seasonal baseline.

realised volume (unseen day) ridge forecast (one-step-ahead) seasonal baseline

features: [1, devt−1, devt−2, day-so-far mean, time-of-day] — the production API adds order-book and cross-asset features on real data.

First release

Volume Forecast API

Intraday volume predictions for execution timing — slice orders when liquidity is actually there. Powered by the ML system already live in our Lab.

POST /v1/forecast/volume
Roadmap

Regime Detection API

Market-state classification as a service: is the market trending, mean-reverting, or breaking down? The signal our balanced engine uses to survive regime shifts.

GET /v1/regime/current
Roadmap

Backtest Validation API

Upload returns, get the truth: deflated Sharpe, overfitting probability, regime-segmented performance. Our validation audit, automated.

POST /v1/validate/backtest
Why this wins

Live capital funds the research. The platform scales it.

Every consulting engagement hardens the same infrastructure the platform is built on — and every platform tool makes the consulting faster. It's a flywheel, and it's already turning: the first API is running in production inside our own live-capital systems today.

NOW

Prove on live capital

The swarm executes our own capital through the full stack daily: regime gating, pre-trade risk warden, TWAP/VWAP routing. Consulting engagements add external validation and revenue.

NEXT

Open the first endpoint

Volume Forecast API to early-access design partners — consulting clients first. Simple key-based auth, usage-based pricing, honest SLAs.

THEN

Expand the instrument panel

Regime posteriors, warden telemetry, execution analytics, and validation tooling — each shipped only after surviving our own production use. An institutional-grade operations panel for everyone the big vendors ignore.

Design partner track

Shape the platform before it ships.

Design partners get shaped-for-you endpoints, founding pricing, and direct access to the engineer behind the models. Allocators and institutional counterparties: use the gated access channel for verified metrics and dashboards.

No spam, no waitlist theatre — a direct reply from the founder. Access is qualification-based and not guaranteed.